In the last round of invitations, we witnessed a slight drop in the minimum CRS to 442 scores. The number of ITAs increased decently to the 3,000 letters. Overall it will be some good news for applicants under the express entry system.
As discussed before, the increase in immigration targets for 2018-2020 and a significant share of federal programs in achieving the immigration targets will make the drop in accepted minimum CRS very likely.
However, the pool composition is also another factor to set the minimum approved CRS score. It is probable that the positive feedback of EE among young, educated applicants will keep the demand high among this demography and will push the CRS to higher values.
This EE draw shows that even a 10% increase in issues ITAs will not push down the CRS scores significantly. However, we have rest of 2018 to monitor the EE draws and speculate accordingly.
Another point is the date of the tie-breaking rule. In this draw, it is May 29, 2017. It means the last person who was invited by IRCC, submitted his/her application around eight months ago. It will indicate the time applications will remain in the pool for marginal CRS scores.